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Oil climbs as US and Israel reportedly weigh renewed strikes on Iran

The US ordered non-emergency diplomats out of Saudi Arabia after Houthi attacks on an airport and an oil field, reviving fears of a wider regional conflict.

By BBCorp

What happened

Oil prices moved higher on reports that the United States, together with Israel, is weighing a resumption of strikes against Iran. Reports indicated any such action would come after the US midterms.

Separately, the US ordered non-emergency staff to leave Saudi Arabia following Houthi strikes on an airport and an oil field. The combination of the diplomatic drawdown and the attacks on Saudi infrastructure revived concerns that the Middle East conflict could flare up again and widen across the region.

Why it matters

The Gulf is central to global crude supply, and attacks on energy and transport infrastructure, or the prospect of military action involving Iran, raise questions about shipping routes and production continuity. Oil is usually the first market to register that kind of risk, and moves in crude can feed into inflation expectations and into equity sectors sensitive to energy costs.

Geopolitical escalation also tends to shift demand toward assets seen as havens, which can touch gold and the dollar, while risk-sensitive assets such as stock indices and crypto often see wider price swings. Diplomatic evacuations are watched closely because they are read as a signal about how governments assess the risk of imminent conflict.

What to watch

Attention stays on whether the reported US and Israeli strikes on Iran go ahead, the timing around the US midterms referenced in the reports, any further Houthi attacks on Saudi airports or oil facilities, and additional moves on diplomatic staffing in the region.

Markets in play